Head to head

Guatemala vs Italy

If they played today

Guatemala at home

24% / 24% / 51%

Guatemala win / draw / Italy win

Guatemala–Italy

1–1 11.6%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 9.1%
1–0 7.0%

Neutral venue

18% / 22% / 59%

Guatemala win / draw / Italy win

Guatemala–Italy

0–1 11.5%
0–2 10.7%
1–1 10.6%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.6%

Italy at home

13% / 20% / 67%

Guatemala win / draw / Italy win

Guatemala–Italy

0–2 12.2%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.4%
0–3 8.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Guatemala	Italy
Current Elo	1642	1922
Elo rank	80th	19th
Peak Elo	1714 (2004)	2140 (2021)
Matches played	554	893
All-time record	199W 140D 215L	477W 243D 173L
Goals for	774	1565
Goals against	763	876
Biggest win	10–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 2021-06-04 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–9 vs Costa Rica · 1955-07-24 · Friendly	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	4
Expected World Cups	0.00	1.66

When they've met

Guatemala and Italy have never played each other.