Head to head

Guam vs Samoa

If they played today

Guam at home

27% / 25% / 48%

Guam win / draw / Samoa win

Guam–Samoa

1–1 11.9%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.5%
1–0 7.5%

Neutral venue

20% / 23% / 56%

Guam win / draw / Samoa win

Guam–Samoa

0–1 11.3%
1–1 11.0%
0–2 10.1%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Samoa at home

15% / 21% / 64%

Guam win / draw / Samoa win

Guam–Samoa

0–1 11.7%
0–2 11.6%
1–1 9.9%
1–2 9.8%
0–3 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Guam	Samoa
Current Elo	974	1216
Elo rank	208th	179th
Peak Elo	1453 (1975)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	123	71
All-time record	25W 11D 87L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	140	99
Goals against	603	249
Biggest win	15–2 vs Palau · 1998-08-01 · Friendly	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–21 vs North Korea · 2005-03-11 · EAFF Championship	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Meetings

Guam 1W 0D 0L

Goals

4–2

Guam first

First meeting

4–2

Guam won · 1979-09-05 · South Pacific Games

Most recent

4–2

Guam won · 1979-09-05 · South Pacific Games

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
1979-09-05	4–2	Neutral	South Pacific Games