Head to head

Gibraltar vs Tonga

If they played today

Gibraltar at home

52% / 24% / 24%

Gibraltar win / draw / Tonga win

Gibraltar–Tonga

1–1 11.6%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.1%
0–1 6.9%

Neutral venue

44% / 26% / 31%

Gibraltar win / draw / Tonga win

Gibraltar–Tonga

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.3%
2–1 9.0%
0–1 8.3%
2–0 7.6%

Tonga at home

36% / 26% / 38%

Gibraltar win / draw / Tonga win

Gibraltar–Tonga

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.8%
1–0 9.4%
1–2 8.3%
2–1 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Gibraltar	Tonga
Current Elo	1140	1056
Elo rank	187th	198th
Peak Elo	1680 (2011)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	159	68
All-time record	39W 20D 100L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	177	81
Goals against	395	253
Biggest win	19–0 vs Sark · 2003-06-29 · Island Games	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–14 vs France · 2023-11-18 · UEFA Euro qualification	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Gibraltar and Tonga have never played each other.