Head to head

Gibraltar vs Samoa

If they played today

Gibraltar at home

39% / 26% / 35%

Gibraltar win / draw / Samoa win

Gibraltar–Samoa

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.9%
0–1 9.3%
2–1 8.4%
1–2 7.9%

Neutral venue

31% / 26% / 43%

Gibraltar win / draw / Samoa win

Gibraltar–Samoa

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.3%
1–2 8.9%
1–0 8.5%
0–2 7.4%

Samoa at home

24% / 24% / 51%

Gibraltar win / draw / Samoa win

Gibraltar–Samoa

1–1 11.6%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 9.0%
1–0 7.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Gibraltar	Samoa
Current Elo	1140	1216
Elo rank	187th	179th
Peak Elo	1680 (2011)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	159	71
All-time record	39W 20D 100L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	177	99
Goals against	395	249
Biggest win	19–0 vs Sark · 2003-06-29 · Island Games	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–14 vs France · 2023-11-18 · UEFA Euro qualification	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Gibraltar and Samoa have never played each other.