Head to head

Germany vs Samoa

If they played today

Germany at home

93% / 6% / 1%

Germany win / draw / Samoa win

Germany–Samoa

3–0 19.7%
2–0 19.3%
4–0 15.0%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 9.2%

Neutral venue

90% / 8% / 2%

Germany win / draw / Samoa win

Germany–Samoa

2–0 18.0%
3–0 17.1%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 12.2%
5–0 7.0%

Samoa at home

85% / 11% / 4%

Germany win / draw / Samoa win

Germany–Samoa

2–0 16.7%
3–0 14.7%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 9.8%
2–1 6.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Germany	Samoa
Current Elo	1993	1216
Elo rank	14th	179th
Peak Elo	2267 (2014)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	1035	71
All-time record	601W 214D 220L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	2331	99
Goals against	1203	249
Biggest win	16–0 vs Russia · 1912-07-01 · Olympic Games	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Spain · 2020-11-17 · UEFA Nations League	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	2.12	0.00

When they've met

Germany and Samoa have never played each other.