Head to head

Germany vs Japan

If they played today

Germany at home

47% / 25% / 28%

Germany win / draw / Japan win

Germany–Japan

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.1%
0–1 7.8%

Neutral venue

38% / 26% / 35%

Germany win / draw / Japan win

Germany–Japan

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.8%
0–1 9.3%
2–1 8.4%
1–2 8.0%

Japan at home

31% / 26% / 43%

Germany win / draw / Japan win

Germany–Japan

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.3%
1–2 9.0%
1–0 8.4%
0–2 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Germany	Japan
Current Elo	1993	1973
Elo rank	14th	15th
Peak Elo	2267 (2014)	2012 (2026)
Matches played	1035	794
All-time record	601W 214D 220L	391W 167D 236L
Goals for	2331	1451
Goals against	1203	915
Biggest win	16–0 vs Russia · 1912-07-01 · Olympic Games	14–0 vs Mongolia · 2021-03-30 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Spain · 2020-11-17 · UEFA Nations League	2–15 vs Philippines · 1917-05-10 · Far Eastern Championship Games
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	2.12	0.16

When they've met

Meetings

Germany 1W 1D 2L

Goals

7–8

Germany first

First meeting

3–0

Germany won · 2004-12-16 · Friendly

Most recent

1–4

Japan won · 2023-09-09 · Friendly

Germany's biggest win

3–0

2004-12-16 · Friendly

Japan's biggest win

4–1

2023-09-09 · Friendly

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Japan · since 2006-05-30

4 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2023-09-09	1–4	Germany home	Friendly
2022-11-23	1–2	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
2006-05-30	2–2	Germany home	Friendly
2004-12-16	3–0	Japan home	Friendly