Head to head

Gambia vs Samoa

If they played today

Gambia at home

70% / 19% / 11%

Gambia win / draw / Samoa win

Gambia–Samoa

2–0 12.9%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.2%
1–1 8.8%

Neutral venue

63% / 21% / 16%

Gambia win / draw / Samoa win

Gambia–Samoa

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.4%
1–1 10.1%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.4%

Samoa at home

55% / 24% / 22%

Gambia win / draw / Samoa win

Gambia–Samoa

1–1 11.2%
1–0 11.2%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.8%
0–1 6.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Gambia	Samoa
Current Elo	1540	1216
Elo rank	99th	179th
Peak Elo	1570 (2022)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	266	71
All-time record	73W 75D 118L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	279	99
Goals against	370	249
Biggest win	7–0 vs Seychelles · 2025-10-14 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Ghana · 1978-01-17 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Gambia and Samoa have never played each other.