Head to head

Gambia vs Nigeria

If they played today

Gambia at home

20% / 23% / 56%

Gambia win / draw / Nigeria win

Gambia–Nigeria

0–1 11.3%
1–1 11.0%
0–2 10.1%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Neutral venue

15% / 21% / 64%

Gambia win / draw / Nigeria win

Gambia–Nigeria

0–1 11.7%
0–2 11.7%
1–1 9.9%
1–2 9.8%
0–3 7.7%

Nigeria at home

11% / 18% / 71%

Gambia win / draw / Nigeria win

Gambia–Nigeria

0–2 13.2%
0–1 12.1%
0–3 9.6%
1–2 9.4%
1–1 8.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Gambia	Nigeria
Current Elo	1540	1883
Elo rank	99th	26th
Peak Elo	1570 (2022)	1896 (2006)
Matches played	266	661
All-time record	73W 75D 118L	311W 192D 158L
Goals for	279	1008
Goals against	370	662
Biggest win	7–0 vs Seychelles · 2025-10-14 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs São Tomé and Príncipe · 2022-06-13 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Ghana · 1978-01-17 · Friendly	0–7 vs Ghana · 1955-10-30 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.08
African Cup of Nations won	0	3
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.01	2.40

When they've met

Meetings

Gambia 0W 0D 1L

Goals

0–1

Gambia first

First meeting

0–1

Nigeria won · 2003-02-16 · Friendly

Most recent

0–1

Nigeria won · 2003-02-16 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2003-02-16	0–1	Gambia home	Friendly