Head to head

Gambia vs New Caledonia

If they played today

Gambia at home

41% / 26% / 33%

Gambia win / draw / New Caledonia win

Gambia–New Caledonia

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.0%
0–1 8.9%
2–1 8.7%
1–2 7.7%

Neutral venue

33% / 26% / 41%

Gambia win / draw / New Caledonia win

Gambia–New Caledonia

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.1%
1–0 8.8%
1–2 8.7%
2–1 7.6%

New Caledonia at home

26% / 25% / 49%

Gambia win / draw / New Caledonia win

Gambia–New Caledonia

1–1 11.8%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.6%
1–0 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Gambia	New Caledonia
Current Elo	1540	1591
Elo rank	99th	85th
Peak Elo	1570 (2022)	1699 (2008)
Matches played	266	265
All-time record	73W 75D 118L	136W 34D 95L
Goals for	279	698
Goals against	370	369
Biggest win	7–0 vs Seychelles · 2025-10-14 · FIFA World Cup qualification	18–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-01 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Ghana · 1978-01-17 · Friendly	0–11 vs Australia · 2002-07-08 · Oceania Nations Cup
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Gambia and New Caledonia have never played each other.