Head to head

Gambia vs Mexico

If they played today

Gambia at home

14% / 20% / 66%

Gambia win / draw / Mexico win

Gambia–Mexico

0–2 12.1%
0–1 11.8%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.5%
0–3 8.2%

Neutral venue

10% / 17% / 73%

Gambia win / draw / Mexico win

Gambia–Mexico

0–2 13.7%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.2%
1–2 9.2%
1–1 8.2%

Mexico at home

6% / 14% / 79%

Gambia win / draw / Mexico win

Gambia–Mexico

0–2 15.1%
0–1 12.4%
0–3 12.3%
1–2 8.1%
0–4 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Gambia	Mexico
Current Elo	1540	2012
Elo rank	99th	12th
Peak Elo	1570 (2022)	2044 (2026)
Matches played	266	1008
All-time record	73W 75D 118L	518W 231D 259L
Goals for	279	1777
Goals against	370	1057
Biggest win	7–0 vs Seychelles · 2025-10-14 · FIFA World Cup qualification	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Ghana · 1978-01-17 · Friendly	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.64

When they've met

Meetings

Gambia 0W 0D 1L

Goals

1–5

Gambia first

First meeting

1–5

Mexico won · 2010-05-30 · Friendly

Most recent

1–5

Mexico won · 2010-05-30 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2010-05-30	1–5	Neutral	Friendly