Head to head

Gambia vs Madagascar

If they played today

Gambia at home

47% / 25% / 28%

Gambia win / draw / Madagascar win

Gambia–Madagascar

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.3%
0–1 7.7%

Neutral venue

39% / 26% / 35%

Gambia win / draw / Madagascar win

Gambia–Madagascar

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.9%
0–1 9.2%
2–1 8.5%
1–2 7.9%

Madagascar at home

32% / 26% / 43%

Gambia win / draw / Madagascar win

Gambia–Madagascar

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.2%
1–2 8.9%
1–0 8.5%
2–1 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Gambia	Madagascar
Current Elo	1540	1511
Elo rank	99th	108th
Peak Elo	1570 (2022)	1645 (1993)
Matches played	266	320
All-time record	73W 75D 118L	118W 73D 129L
Goals for	279	434
Goals against	370	484
Biggest win	7–0 vs Seychelles · 2025-10-14 · FIFA World Cup qualification	8–1 vs Congo · 1960-04-18 · African Friendship Games
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Ghana · 1978-01-17 · Friendly	0–7 vs DR Congo · 1965-07-19 · All-African Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.01	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Gambia 1W 1D 0L

Goals

2–1

Gambia first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 2024-10-11 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Most recent

1–0

Gambia won · 2024-10-14 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Gambia's biggest win

1–0

2024-10-14 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Madagascar's biggest win

—

Never beaten Gambia

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Gambia · since 2024-10-11

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-10-14	1–0	Neutral	African Cup of Nations qualification
2024-10-11	1–1	Neutral	African Cup of Nations qualification