Head to head

Gambia vs Luxembourg

If they played today

Gambia at home

51% / 25% / 25%

Gambia win / draw / Luxembourg win

Gambia–Luxembourg

1–1 11.7%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 8.9%
0–1 7.1%

Neutral venue

42% / 26% / 32%

Gambia win / draw / Luxembourg win

Gambia–Luxembourg

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 8.9%
0–1 8.6%
1–2 7.4%

Luxembourg at home

35% / 26% / 39%

Gambia win / draw / Luxembourg win

Gambia–Luxembourg

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.9%
1–0 9.2%
1–2 8.5%
2–1 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Gambia	Luxembourg
Current Elo	1540	1470
Elo rank	99th	124th
Peak Elo	1570 (2022)	1567 (2023)
Matches played	266	467
All-time record	73W 75D 118L	50W 63D 354L
Goals for	279	296
Goals against	370	1204
Biggest win	7–0 vs Seychelles · 2025-10-14 · FIFA World Cup qualification	4–0 vs Moldova · 2018-09-08 · UEFA Nations League
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Ghana · 1978-01-17 · Friendly	0–9 vs Portugal · 2023-09-11 · UEFA Euro qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Meetings

Gambia 0W 0D 1L

Goals

1–2

Gambia first

First meeting

1–2

Luxembourg won · 2007-02-07 · Friendly

Most recent

1–2

Luxembourg won · 2007-02-07 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2007-02-07	1–2	Luxembourg home	Friendly