Head to head

Gambia vs Kenya

If they played today

Gambia at home

50% / 25% / 25%

Gambia win / draw / Kenya win

Gambia–Kenya

1–1 11.7%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 8.9%
0–1 7.1%

Neutral venue

42% / 26% / 32%

Gambia win / draw / Kenya win

Gambia–Kenya

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 8.9%
0–1 8.6%
1–2 7.5%

Kenya at home

34% / 26% / 39%

Gambia win / draw / Kenya win

Gambia–Kenya

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.9%
1–0 9.1%
1–2 8.5%
2–1 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Gambia	Kenya
Current Elo	1540	1472
Elo rank	99th	123rd
Peak Elo	1570 (2022)	1644 (1961)
Matches played	266	706
All-time record	73W 75D 118L	268W 176D 262L
Goals for	279	978
Goals against	370	958
Biggest win	7–0 vs Seychelles · 2025-10-14 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs Zanzibar · 1961-10-04 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Ghana · 1978-01-17 · Friendly	1–13 vs Uganda · 1932-08-25 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.01	0.20

When they've met

Meetings

Gambia 1W 1D 0L

Goals

6–4

Gambia first

First meeting

3–3

Drawn · 2025-03-20 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

3–1

Gambia won · 2025-09-05 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Gambia's biggest win

3–1

2025-09-05 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Kenya's biggest win

—

Never beaten Gambia

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Gambia · since 2025-03-20

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-09-05	3–1	Kenya home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2025-03-20	3–3	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification