Head to head

Gambia vs Italy

If they played today

Gambia at home

18% / 22% / 59%

Gambia win / draw / Italy win

Gambia–Italy

0–1 11.5%
0–2 10.7%
1–1 10.6%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.6%

Neutral venue

13% / 20% / 67%

Gambia win / draw / Italy win

Gambia–Italy

0–2 12.3%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.4%
0–3 8.4%

Italy at home

9% / 17% / 74%

Gambia win / draw / Italy win

Gambia–Italy

0–2 13.8%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–1 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Gambia	Italy
Current Elo	1540	1922
Elo rank	99th	19th
Peak Elo	1570 (2022)	2140 (2021)
Matches played	266	893
All-time record	73W 75D 118L	477W 243D 173L
Goals for	279	1565
Goals against	370	876
Biggest win	7–0 vs Seychelles · 2025-10-14 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Ghana · 1978-01-17 · Friendly	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	4
Expected World Cups	0.00	1.66

When they've met

Gambia and Italy have never played each other.