Head to head

France vs Tonga

If they played today

France at home

97% / 3% / 0%

France win / draw / Tonga win

France–Tonga

3–0 20.0%
4–0 18.3%
2–0 16.3%
5–0 13.4%
1–0 8.9%

Neutral venue

96% / 4% / 0%

France win / draw / Tonga win

France–Tonga

3–0 20.6%
4–0 17.9%
2–0 17.9%
5–0 12.4%
1–0 10.3%

Tonga at home

96% / 4% / 0%

France win / draw / Tonga win

France–Tonga

3–0 21.1%
2–0 19.4%
4–0 17.2%
1–0 11.9%
5–0 11.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	France	Tonga
Current Elo	2139	1056
Elo rank	4th	198th
Peak Elo	2232 (2026)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	943	68
All-time record	483W 195D 265L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	1735	81
Goals against	1219	253
Biggest win	14–0 vs Gibraltar · 2023-11-18 · UEFA Euro qualification	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	1–17 vs Denmark · 1908-10-22 · Olympic Games	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	2	0
Expected World Cups	0.90	0.00

When they've met

France and Tonga have never played each other.