Head to head

France vs Samoa

If they played today

France at home

96% / 4% / 0%

France win / draw / Samoa win

France–Samoa

3–0 20.9%
2–0 18.8%
4–0 17.5%
5–0 11.7%
1–0 11.2%

Neutral venue

95% / 5% / 0%

France win / draw / Samoa win

France–Samoa

3–0 20.8%
2–0 19.9%
4–0 16.4%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 10.3%

Samoa at home

91% / 7% / 1%

France win / draw / Samoa win

France–Samoa

2–0 18.6%
3–0 18.3%
4–0 13.5%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	France	Samoa
Current Elo	2139	1216
Elo rank	4th	179th
Peak Elo	2232 (2026)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	943	71
All-time record	483W 195D 265L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	1735	99
Goals against	1219	249
Biggest win	14–0 vs Gibraltar · 2023-11-18 · UEFA Euro qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	1–17 vs Denmark · 1908-10-22 · Olympic Games	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	2	0
Expected World Cups	0.90	0.00

When they've met

France and Samoa have never played each other.