Head to head

France vs Mexico

If they played today

France at home

55% / 23% / 21%

France win / draw / Mexico win

France–Mexico

1–0 11.2%
1–1 11.2%
2–0 9.8%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Neutral venue

47% / 25% / 28%

France win / draw / Mexico win

France–Mexico

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.2%
0–1 7.7%

Mexico at home

39% / 26% / 35%

France win / draw / Mexico win

France–Mexico

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.9%
0–1 9.2%
2–1 8.5%
1–2 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	France	Mexico
Current Elo	2139	2012
Elo rank	4th	12th
Peak Elo	2232 (2026)	2044 (2026)
Matches played	943	1008
All-time record	483W 195D 265L	518W 231D 259L
Goals for	1735	1777
Goals against	1219	1057
Biggest win	14–0 vs Gibraltar · 2023-11-18 · UEFA Euro qualification	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–17 vs Denmark · 1908-10-22 · Olympic Games	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly
World Cups won	2	0
Expected World Cups	0.90	0.64

When they've met

Meetings

France 5W 1D 1L

Goals

15–6

France first

First meeting

4–1

France won · 1930-07-13 · FIFA World Cup

Most recent

0–2

Mexico won · 2010-06-17 · FIFA World Cup

France's biggest win

4–0

2001-06-03 · Confederations Cup

Mexico's biggest win

2–0

2010-06-17 · FIFA World Cup

Current run

Won the last meeting

Mexico · since 2010-06-17

7 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2010-06-17	0–2	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
2006-05-27	1–0	France home	Friendly
2001-06-03	4–0	Neutral	Confederations Cup
1996-08-31	2–0	France home	Friendly
1966-07-13	1–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
1954-06-19	3–2	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
1930-07-13	4–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup