Head to head

France vs Mali

If they played today

France at home

77% / 16% / 8%

France win / draw / Mali win

France–Mali

2–0 14.5%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.4%
2–1 8.6%
1–1 7.3%

Neutral venue

70% / 18% / 11%

France win / draw / Mali win

France–Mali

2–0 13.0%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.4%
1–1 8.8%

Mali at home

63% / 21% / 16%

France win / draw / Mali win

France–Mali

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.4%
1–1 10.0%
2–1 9.8%
3–0 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	France	Mali
Current Elo	2139	1709
Elo rank	4th	60th
Peak Elo	2232 (2026)	1773 (2024)
Matches played	943	569
All-time record	483W 195D 265L	232W 151D 186L
Goals for	1735	746
Goals against	1219	626
Biggest win	14–0 vs Gibraltar · 2023-11-18 · UEFA Euro qualification	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	1–17 vs Denmark · 1908-10-22 · Olympic Games	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly
World Cups won	2	0
Expected World Cups	0.90	0.00

When they've met

France and Mali have never played each other.