Head to head

Finland vs Tonga

If they played today

Finland at home

84% / 12% / 4%

Finland win / draw / Tonga win

Finland–Tonga

2–0 16.4%
3–0 14.3%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 9.4%
2–1 6.9%

Neutral venue

79% / 15% / 7%

Finland win / draw / Tonga win

Finland–Tonga

2–0 15.0%
1–0 12.4%
3–0 12.1%
2–1 8.3%
4–0 7.3%

Tonga at home

72% / 18% / 10%

Finland win / draw / Tonga win

Finland–Tonga

2–0 13.5%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 10.0%
2–1 9.2%
1–1 8.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Finland	Tonga
Current Elo	1616	1056
Elo rank	82nd	198th
Peak Elo	1779 (2021)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	818	68
All-time record	216W 166D 436L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	960	81
Goals against	1675	253
Biggest win	10–2 vs Estonia · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Germany · 1940-09-01 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Finland and Tonga have never played each other.