Head to head

Finland vs Tajikistan

If they played today

Finland at home

59% / 22% / 18%

Finland win / draw / Tajikistan win

Finland–Tajikistan

1–0 11.5%
1–1 10.6%
2–0 10.6%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.6%

Neutral venue

51% / 24% / 24%

Finland win / draw / Tajikistan win

Finland–Tajikistan

1–1 11.6%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.0%
0–1 7.0%

Tajikistan at home

43% / 26% / 31%

Finland win / draw / Tajikistan win

Finland–Tajikistan

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.3%
2–1 8.9%
0–1 8.4%
2–0 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Finland	Tajikistan
Current Elo	1616	1438
Elo rank	82nd	136th
Peak Elo	1779 (2021)	1569 (1997)
Matches played	818	201
All-time record	216W 166D 436L	78W 43D 80L
Goals for	960	299
Goals against	1675	278
Biggest win	10–2 vs Estonia · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	16–0 vs Guam · 2000-11-26 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Germany · 1940-09-01 · Friendly	0–8 vs Japan · 2011-10-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Finland and Tajikistan have never played each other.