Head to head

Finland vs Samoa

If they played today

Finland at home

75% / 16% / 9%

Finland win / draw / Samoa win

Finland–Samoa

2–0 14.1%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.8%
2–1 8.9%
1–1 7.8%

Neutral venue

68% / 19% / 12%

Finland win / draw / Samoa win

Finland–Samoa

2–0 12.5%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.6%
1–1 9.2%
3–0 8.8%

Samoa at home

61% / 22% / 17%

Finland win / draw / Samoa win

Finland–Samoa

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.0%
1–1 10.4%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Finland	Samoa
Current Elo	1616	1216
Elo rank	82nd	179th
Peak Elo	1779 (2021)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	818	71
All-time record	216W 166D 436L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	960	99
Goals against	1675	249
Biggest win	10–2 vs Estonia · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Germany · 1940-09-01 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Finland and Samoa have never played each other.