Head to head

Finland vs Moldova

If they played today

Finland at home

68% / 19% / 13%

Finland win / draw / Moldova win

Finland–Moldova

2–0 12.5%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.6%
1–1 9.2%
3–0 8.7%

Neutral venue

61% / 22% / 17%

Finland win / draw / Moldova win

Finland–Moldova

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.9%
1–1 10.4%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.9%

Moldova at home

53% / 24% / 23%

Finland win / draw / Moldova win

Finland–Moldova

1–1 11.4%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.3%
0–1 6.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Finland	Moldova
Current Elo	1616	1319
Elo rank	82nd	165th
Peak Elo	1779 (2021)	1566 (1994)
Matches played	818	299
All-time record	216W 166D 436L	58W 70D 171L
Goals for	960	243
Goals against	1675	522
Biggest win	10–2 vs Estonia · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	5–0 vs Pakistan · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Germany · 1940-09-01 · Friendly	1–11 vs Norway · 2025-09-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	<0.01	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Finland 2W 1D 1L

Goals

7–5

Finland first

First meeting

3–2

Finland won · 1998-09-05 · UEFA Euro qualification

Most recent

4–1

Finland won · 2011-09-02 · UEFA Euro qualification

Finland's biggest win

4–1

2011-09-02 · UEFA Euro qualification

Moldova's biggest win

2–0

2010-09-03 · UEFA Euro qualification

Current run

Won the last meeting

Finland · since 2011-09-02

4 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2011-09-02	4–1	Finland home	UEFA Euro qualification
2010-09-03	0–2	Moldova home	UEFA Euro qualification
1999-06-09	0–0	Moldova home	UEFA Euro qualification
1998-09-05	3–2	Finland home	UEFA Euro qualification