Head to head

Finland vs Mexico

If they played today

Finland at home

17% / 22% / 61%

Finland win / draw / Mexico win

Finland–Mexico

0–1 11.5%
0–2 10.9%
1–1 10.4%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.9%

Neutral venue

13% / 19% / 68%

Finland win / draw / Mexico win

Finland–Mexico

0–2 12.5%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.6%
1–1 9.2%
0–3 8.7%

Mexico at home

9% / 17% / 75%

Finland win / draw / Mexico win

Finland–Mexico

0–2 14.0%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.7%
1–2 9.0%
1–1 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Finland	Mexico
Current Elo	1616	2012
Elo rank	82nd	12th
Peak Elo	1779 (2021)	2044 (2026)
Matches played	818	1008
All-time record	216W 166D 436L	518W 231D 259L
Goals for	960	1777
Goals against	1675	1057
Biggest win	10–2 vs Estonia · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Germany · 1940-09-01 · Friendly	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.64

When they've met

Meetings

Finland 0W 0D 3L

Goals

1–6

Finland first

First meeting

0–1

Mexico won · 1978-05-03 · Friendly

Most recent

1–2

Mexico won · 1985-02-26 · Friendly

Finland's biggest win

—

Never beaten Mexico

Mexico's biggest win

3–0

1984-08-16 · Friendly

Current run

Won last 3

Mexico · since 1978-05-03

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
1985-02-26	1–2	Mexico home	Friendly
1984-08-16	0–3	Finland home	Friendly
1978-05-03	0–1	Finland home	Friendly