Head to head

Finland vs Luxembourg

If they played today

Finland at home

57% / 23% / 20%

Finland win / draw / Luxembourg win

Finland–Luxembourg

1–0 11.3%
1–1 11.0%
2–0 10.1%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Neutral venue

49% / 25% / 26%

Finland win / draw / Luxembourg win

Finland–Luxembourg

1–1 11.9%
1–0 10.7%
2–1 9.4%
2–0 8.5%
0–1 7.4%

Luxembourg at home

41% / 26% / 33%

Finland win / draw / Luxembourg win

Finland–Luxembourg

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.0%
0–1 8.9%
2–1 8.6%
1–2 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Finland	Luxembourg
Current Elo	1616	1470
Elo rank	82nd	124th
Peak Elo	1779 (2021)	1567 (2023)
Matches played	818	467
All-time record	216W 166D 436L	50W 63D 354L
Goals for	960	296
Goals against	1675	1204
Biggest win	10–2 vs Estonia · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	4–0 vs Moldova · 2018-09-08 · UEFA Nations League
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Germany · 1940-09-01 · Friendly	0–9 vs Portugal · 2023-09-11 · UEFA Euro qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	<0.01	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Finland 4W 0D 1L

Goals

12–4

Finland first

First meeting

0–3

Luxembourg won · 1951-11-04 · Friendly

Most recent

3–0

Finland won · 2013-03-26 · Friendly

Finland's biggest win

7–1

1976-09-22 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Luxembourg's biggest win

3–0

1951-11-04 · Friendly

Most common result

1–0

Finland first · twice, last 2001-02-28

Current run

Won last 4

Finland · since 1976-09-22

5 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2013-03-26	3–0	Luxembourg home	Friendly
2001-02-28	1–0	Luxembourg home	Friendly
1977-05-26	1–0	Luxembourg home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1976-09-22	7–1	Finland home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1951-11-04	0–3	Luxembourg home	Friendly