Head to head

Finland vs Lithuania

If they played today

Finland at home

66% / 20% / 14%

Finland win / draw / Lithuania win

Finland–Lithuania

2–0 12.0%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.8%
1–1 9.6%
3–0 8.1%

Neutral venue

58% / 23% / 19%

Finland win / draw / Lithuania win

Finland–Lithuania

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.8%
2–0 10.4%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.3%

Lithuania at home

50% / 25% / 25%

Finland win / draw / Lithuania win

Finland–Lithuania

1–1 11.7%
1–0 10.8%
2–1 9.5%
2–0 8.8%
0–1 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Finland	Lithuania
Current Elo	1616	1353
Elo rank	82nd	157th
Peak Elo	1779 (2021)	1682 (2008)
Matches played	818	433
All-time record	216W 166D 436L	111W 84D 238L
Goals for	960	431
Goals against	1675	786
Biggest win	10–2 vs Estonia · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	7–0 vs Estonia · 1995-05-20 · Baltic Cup
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Germany · 1940-09-01 · Friendly	0–10 vs Egypt · 1924-05-27 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	<0.01	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Finland 4W 1D 2L

Goals

19–8

Finland first

First meeting

9–2

Finland won · 1933-08-09 · Friendly

Most recent

2–1

Finland won · 2025-10-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Finland's biggest win

9–2

1933-08-09 · Friendly

Lithuania's biggest win

1–0

2014-05-29 · Baltic Cup

Most common result

0–1

Finland first · twice, last 2014-05-29

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Finland · since 2025-03-24

7 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-10-09	2–1	Finland home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2025-03-24	2–2	Lithuania home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2014-05-29	0–1	Neutral	Baltic Cup
1993-02-21	3–0	Finland home	Four Nations Tournament
1938-09-18	3–1	Finland home	Friendly
1934-08-16	0–1	Lithuania home	Friendly
1933-08-09	9–2	Finland home	Friendly