Head to head

Ethiopia vs Zimbabwe

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

38% / 26% / 36%

Ethiopia win / draw / Zimbabwe win

Ethiopia–Zimbabwe

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.8%
0–1 9.4%
2–1 8.3%
1–2 8.0%

Neutral venue

31% / 26% / 44%

Ethiopia win / draw / Zimbabwe win

Ethiopia–Zimbabwe

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.3%
1–2 9.0%
1–0 8.4%
0–2 7.6%

Zimbabwe at home

24% / 24% / 52%

Ethiopia win / draw / Zimbabwe win

Ethiopia–Zimbabwe

1–1 11.6%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 9.1%
1–0 6.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Zimbabwe
Current Elo	1393	1476
Elo rank	148th	119th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1672 (2005)
Matches played	409	496
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	190W 139D 167L
Goals for	549	660
Goals against	595	591
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	7–0 vs Botswana · 1990-08-26 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–7 vs South Africa · 1977-04-09 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	1	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	1.67	0.08

When they've met

Meetings

Ethiopia 2W 2D 1L

Goals

6–4

Ethiopia first

First meeting

2–0

Ethiopia won · 1984-06-11 · Friendly

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2021-11-14 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Ethiopia's biggest win

2–0

1984-06-11 · Friendly

Zimbabwe's biggest win

2–1

1988-11-13 · CECAFA Cup

Most common result

1–1

Ethiopia first · twice, last 2021-11-14

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Ethiopia · since 2021-09-07

5 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2021-11-14	1–1	Zimbabwe home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2021-09-07	1–0	Ethiopia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1988-11-13	1–2	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
1987-12-27	1–1	Ethiopia home	CECAFA Cup
1984-06-11	2–0	Ethiopia home	Friendly