Head to head

Ethiopia vs Zambia

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

32% / 26% / 41%

Ethiopia win / draw / Zambia win

Ethiopia–Zambia

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.1%
1–2 8.8%
1–0 8.7%
2–1 7.6%

Neutral venue

26% / 25% / 50%

Ethiopia win / draw / Zambia win

Ethiopia–Zambia

1–1 11.8%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.7%
1–0 7.3%

Zambia at home

20% / 23% / 58%

Ethiopia win / draw / Zambia win

Ethiopia–Zambia

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.9%
0–2 10.3%
1–2 9.9%
0–0 6.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Zambia
Current Elo	1393	1551
Elo rank	148th	94th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1799 (1994)
Matches played	409	793
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	358W 203D 232L
Goals for	549	1234
Goals against	595	851
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	11–2 vs Eswatini · 1978-02-05 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	1–10 vs DR Congo · 1969-11-22 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	1	1
Expected African Cup of Nations	1.67	1.21

When they've met

Meetings

Ethiopia 2W 6D 11L

Goals

12–29

Ethiopia first

First meeting

1–5

Zambia won · 1971-06-01 · Friendly

Most recent

0–0

Drawn · 2017-08-05 · Friendly

Ethiopia's biggest win

2–1

2010-12-07 · CECAFA Cup

Zambia's biggest win

5–1

1971-06-01 · Friendly

Most common result

0–1

Ethiopia first · 5 times, last 2015-06-07

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Zambia · since 2013-01-21

19 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2017-08-05	0–0	Zambia home	Friendly
2015-06-07	0–1	Ethiopia home	Friendly
2013-01-21	1–1	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
2010-12-07	2–1	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2009-12-02	0–1	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2006-12-05	0–1	Ethiopia home	CECAFA Cup
2001-11-21	1–2	Ethiopia home	Friendly
2000-07-15	0–2	Zambia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2000-07-02	1–0	Ethiopia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1992-11-17	2–3	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
1989-04-02	2–2	Ethiopia home	Friendly
1989-03-31	0–1	Ethiopia home	Friendly
1988-11-06	0–0	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
1982-03-10	0–1	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
1980-06-01	0–4	Zambia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1980-05-18	0–0	Ethiopia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1973-04-15	2–4	Zambia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1973-04-01	0–0	Ethiopia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1971-06-01	1–5	Zambia home	Friendly