Head to head

Ethiopia vs Wales

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

20% / 23% / 57%

Ethiopia win / draw / Wales win

Ethiopia–Wales

0–1 11.3%
1–1 10.9%
0–2 10.2%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Neutral venue

15% / 21% / 65%

Ethiopia win / draw / Wales win

Ethiopia–Wales

0–1 11.8%
0–2 11.8%
1–1 9.8%
1–2 9.8%
0–3 7.8%

Wales at home

10% / 18% / 72%

Ethiopia win / draw / Wales win

Ethiopia–Wales

0–2 13.3%
0–1 12.1%
0–3 9.8%
1–2 9.3%
1–1 8.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Wales
Current Elo	1393	1743
Elo rank	148th	52nd
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1904 (2021)
Matches played	409	726
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	234W 165D 327L
Goals for	549	910
Goals against	595	1160
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1888-03-03 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–9 vs Scotland · 1878-03-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.02

When they've met

Ethiopia and Wales have never played each other.