Head to head

Ethiopia vs Uzbekistan

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

21% / 23% / 56%

Ethiopia win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Ethiopia–Uzbekistan

0–1 11.3%
1–1 11.1%
0–2 10.0%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Neutral venue

15% / 21% / 64%

Ethiopia win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Ethiopia–Uzbekistan

0–1 11.7%
0–2 11.6%
1–1 10.0%
1–2 9.8%
0–3 7.6%

Uzbekistan at home

11% / 18% / 71%

Ethiopia win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Ethiopia–Uzbekistan

0–2 13.1%
0–1 12.1%
0–3 9.5%
1–2 9.4%
1–1 8.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Uzbekistan
Current Elo	1393	1731
Elo rank	148th	56th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1844 (2025)
Matches played	409	357
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	169W 73D 115L
Goals for	549	615
Goals against	595	405
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	15–0 vs Mongolia · 1998-12-05 · Asian Games
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	1–8 vs Japan · 2000-10-17 · AFC Asian Cup
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	<0.01

When they've met

Ethiopia and Uzbekistan have never played each other.