Head to head

Ethiopia vs United States

If they played today

Ethiopia at home
15% / 21% / 65%
Ethiopia win / draw / United States win
Ethiopia–United States
  • 0–1 11.8%
  • 0–2 11.7%
  • 1–1 9.8%
  • 1–2 9.8%
  • 0–3 7.8%
Neutral venue
10% / 18% / 72%
Ethiopia win / draw / United States win
Ethiopia–United States
  • 0–2 13.3%
  • 0–1 12.1%
  • 0–3 9.7%
  • 1–2 9.3%
  • 1–1 8.5%
United States at home
7% / 15% / 78%
Ethiopia win / draw / United States win
Ethiopia–United States
  • 0–2 14.8%
  • 0–1 12.4%
  • 0–3 11.8%
  • 1–2 8.4%
  • 0–4 7.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 EthiopiaUnited States
Current Elo13931842
Elo rank148th33rd
Peak Elo1641 (1968)1973 (2021)
Matches played409795
All-time record144W 93D 172L354W 161D 280L
Goals for5491211
Goals against5951056
Biggest win10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly8–0 vs Barbados · 2008-06-15 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament0–11 vs Norway · 1948-08-06 · Friendly
World Cups won00
Expected World Cups0.000.21

When they've met

Ethiopia and United States have never played each other.