Head to head

Ethiopia vs United States Virgin Islands

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

75% / 16% / 8%

Ethiopia win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Ethiopia–United States Virgin Islands

2–0 14.1%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.9%
2–1 8.9%
1–1 7.7%

Neutral venue

68% / 19% / 12%

Ethiopia win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Ethiopia–United States Virgin Islands

2–0 12.6%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.6%
1–1 9.1%
3–0 8.8%

United States Virgin Islands at home

61% / 22% / 17%

Ethiopia win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Ethiopia–United States Virgin Islands

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.0%
1–1 10.4%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	United States Virgin Islands
Current Elo	1393	990
Elo rank	148th	206th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1507 (1999)
Matches played	409	78
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	10W 12D 56L
Goals for	549	54
Goals against	595	295
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	4–0 vs Marshall Islands · 2025-08-14 · Outrigger Challenge Cup
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	1–14 vs Saint Lucia · 2001-04-14 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and United States Virgin Islands have never played each other.