Head to head

Ethiopia vs Ukraine

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

15% / 21% / 65%

Ethiopia win / draw / Ukraine win

Ethiopia–Ukraine

0–2 11.8%
0–1 11.8%
1–2 9.8%
1–1 9.8%
0–3 7.9%

Neutral venue

10% / 18% / 72%

Ethiopia win / draw / Ukraine win

Ethiopia–Ukraine

0–2 13.4%
0–1 12.1%
0–3 9.8%
1–2 9.3%
1–1 8.4%

Ukraine at home

7% / 15% / 78%

Ethiopia win / draw / Ukraine win

Ethiopia–Ukraine

0–2 14.9%
0–1 12.4%
0–3 11.9%
1–2 8.4%
0–4 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Ukraine
Current Elo	1393	1847
Elo rank	148th	30th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1921 (2024)
Matches played	409	338
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	152W 94D 92L
Goals for	549	475
Goals against	595	358
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	9–0 vs San Marino · 2013-09-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	1–7 vs France · 2020-10-07 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.01

When they've met

Ethiopia and Ukraine have never played each other.