xstats.football
Head to head

Ethiopia vs Uganda

If they played today

Ethiopia at home
35% / 26% / 38%
Ethiopia win / draw / Uganda win
Ethiopia–Uganda
  • 1–1 12.5%
  • 0–1 9.8%
  • 1–0 9.3%
  • 1–2 8.4%
  • 2–1 8.0%
Neutral venue
28% / 25% / 47%
Ethiopia win / draw / Uganda win
Ethiopia–Uganda
  • 1–1 12.0%
  • 0–1 10.6%
  • 1–2 9.3%
  • 0–2 8.1%
  • 1–0 7.8%
Uganda at home
22% / 24% / 55%
Ethiopia win / draw / Uganda win
Ethiopia–Uganda
  • 1–1 11.2%
  • 0–1 11.2%
  • 1–2 9.8%
  • 0–2 9.7%
  • 1–0 6.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 EthiopiaUganda
Current Elo13931514
Elo rank148th105th
Peak Elo1641 (1968)1707 (1978)
Matches played409685
All-time record144W 93D 172L285W 182D 218L
Goals for5491030
Goals against595809
Biggest win10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly13–1 vs Kenya · 1932-08-25 · Friendly
Biggest loss0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament1–8 vs Nigeria · 1991-09-23 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won10
Expected African Cup of Nations1.670.56

When they've met

Meetings
39
Ethiopia 13W 11D 15L
Goals
54–53
Ethiopia first
First meeting
7–1
Ethiopia won · 1963-03-24 · Friendly
Most recent
2–1
Ethiopia won · 2021-08-29 · Friendly
Ethiopia's biggest win
7–1
1963-03-24 · Friendly
Uganda's biggest win
4–0
1969-10-09 · Friendly
Most common result
0–0
Ethiopia first · 6 times, last 2017-06-03
Current run
Won the last meeting
Ethiopia · since 2021-08-29
39 meetings
DateScoreVenueCompetition
2021-08-292–1Ethiopia homeFriendly
2019-10-130–1Ethiopia homeFriendly
2017-12-101–1NeutralCECAFA Cup
2017-06-030–0Ethiopia homeFriendly
2015-12-030–0Ethiopia homeCECAFA Cup
2014-11-090–3Uganda homeFriendly
2012-12-040–2Uganda homeCECAFA Cup
2012-11-270–1Uganda homeCECAFA Cup
2010-12-123–4NeutralCECAFA Cup
2010-11-291–2NeutralCECAFA Cup
2005-11-270–0NeutralCECAFA Cup
2002-12-040–3NeutralCECAFA Cup
2002-07-260–0NeutralFriendly
2000-11-182–2Uganda homeCECAFA Cup
1996-08-251–1Ethiopia homeAfrican Cup of Nations qualification
1996-08-111–1Uganda homeAfrican Cup of Nations qualification
1995-04-230–0Ethiopia homeAfrican Cup of Nations qualification
1994-10-151–4Uganda homeAfrican Cup of Nations qualification
1993-04-252–2Ethiopia homeAfrican Cup of Nations qualification
1992-08-151–3Uganda homeAfrican Cup of Nations qualification
1988-11-112–1NeutralCECAFA Cup
1987-12-243–0Ethiopia homeCECAFA Cup
1983-11-171–2NeutralCECAFA Cup
1983-04-032–1Ethiopia homeFriendly
1983-04-010–1Ethiopia homeFriendly
1982-02-181–0Ethiopia homeFriendly
1982-02-141–2Ethiopia homeFriendly
1977-06-261–2Uganda homeAfrican Cup of Nations qualification
1977-06-120–0Ethiopia homeAfrican Cup of Nations qualification
1976-10-241–4Uganda homeFriendly
1976-02-292–0Ethiopia homeAfrican Cup of Nations
1969-10-090–4Uganda homeFriendly
1969-01-114–0Ethiopia homeFriendly
1968-01-122–1Ethiopia homeAfrican Cup of Nations
1967-10-293–2Uganda homeFriendly
1966-07-075–0Ethiopia homeFriendly
1965-04-182–0Ethiopia homeAfrican Cup of Nations qualification
1965-02-212–1Uganda homeAfrican Cup of Nations qualification
1963-03-247–1Uganda homeFriendly