Head to head

Ethiopia vs Turkmenistan

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

45% / 26% / 29%

Ethiopia win / draw / Turkmenistan win

Ethiopia–Turkmenistan

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.2%
0–1 8.0%
2–0 7.9%

Neutral venue

37% / 26% / 36%

Ethiopia win / draw / Turkmenistan win

Ethiopia–Turkmenistan

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.7%
0–1 9.6%
2–1 8.2%
1–2 8.1%

Turkmenistan at home

30% / 26% / 44%

Ethiopia win / draw / Turkmenistan win

Ethiopia–Turkmenistan

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–0 8.2%
0–2 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Turkmenistan
Current Elo	1393	1387
Elo rank	148th	151st
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1584 (2004)
Matches played	409	175
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	64W 32D 79L
Goals for	549	265
Goals against	595	266
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	11–0 vs Afghanistan · 2003-11-19 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	1–6 vs Kuwait · 2000-02-10 · AFC Asian Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and Turkmenistan have never played each other.