Head to head

Ethiopia vs Turkey

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

11% / 19% / 70%

Ethiopia win / draw / Turkey win

Ethiopia–Turkey

0–2 13.0%
0–1 12.0%
1–2 9.5%
0–3 9.3%
1–1 8.8%

Neutral venue

8% / 16% / 77%

Ethiopia win / draw / Turkey win

Ethiopia–Turkey

0–2 14.5%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.4%
1–2 8.7%
1–1 7.3%

Turkey at home

5% / 13% / 83%

Ethiopia win / draw / Turkey win

Ethiopia–Turkey

0–2 15.9%
0–3 13.6%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 8.7%
1–2 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Turkey
Current Elo	1393	1920
Elo rank	148th	20th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1965 (2026)
Matches played	409	645
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	260W 152D 233L
Goals for	549	902
Goals against	595	909
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	7–0 vs San Marino · 1996-11-10 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–8 vs England · 1987-10-14 · UEFA Euro qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.04

When they've met

Meetings

Ethiopia 0W 1D 1L

Goals

0–3

Ethiopia first

First meeting

0–3

Turkey won · 1962-10-10 · Friendly

Most recent

0–0

Drawn · 1962-12-16 · Friendly

Ethiopia's biggest win

—

Never beaten Turkey

Turkey's biggest win

3–0

1962-10-10 · Friendly

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Turkey · since 1962-10-10

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
1962-12-16	0–0	Ethiopia home	Friendly
1962-10-10	0–3	Turkey home	Friendly