Head to head

Ethiopia vs Tunisia

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

25% / 25% / 50%

Ethiopia win / draw / Tunisia win

Ethiopia–Tunisia

1–1 11.7%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 8.9%
1–0 7.1%

Neutral venue

19% / 23% / 58%

Ethiopia win / draw / Tunisia win

Ethiopia–Tunisia

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.8%
0–2 10.5%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.4%

Tunisia at home

14% / 20% / 66%

Ethiopia win / draw / Tunisia win

Ethiopia–Tunisia

0–2 12.0%
0–1 11.8%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.6%
0–3 8.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Tunisia
Current Elo	1393	1661
Elo rank	148th	75th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1862 (2023)
Matches played	409	681
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	296W 189D 196L
Goals for	549	976
Goals against	595	702
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2015-06-12 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–7 vs Serbia · 1960-08-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.05
African Cup of Nations won	1	1
Expected African Cup of Nations	1.67	2.27

When they've met

Meetings

Ethiopia 2W 2D 4L

Goals

11–17

Ethiopia first

First meeting

4–2

Ethiopia won · 1962-01-14 · African Cup of Nations

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2013-01-07 · Friendly

Ethiopia's biggest win

4–2

1963-11-28 · African Cup of Nations

Tunisia's biggest win

4–0

1965-11-12 · African Cup of Nations

Most common result

4–2

Ethiopia first · twice, last 1963-11-28

Current run

Unbeaten in 6

Tunisia · since 1964-05-17

8 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2013-01-07	1–1	Neutral	Friendly
1993-01-31	0–3	Tunisia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1992-10-25	0–0	Ethiopia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1990-11-18	0–2	Ethiopia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1965-11-12	0–4	Tunisia home	African Cup of Nations
1964-05-17	2–3	Tunisia home	Friendly
1963-11-28	4–2	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
1962-01-14	4–2	Ethiopia home	African Cup of Nations