Head to head

Ethiopia vs Tonga

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

71% / 18% / 11%

Ethiopia win / draw / Tonga win

Ethiopia–Tonga

2–0 13.1%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 9.5%
2–1 9.4%
1–1 8.7%

Neutral venue

64% / 21% / 15%

Ethiopia win / draw / Tonga win

Ethiopia–Tonga

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.6%
1–1 10.0%
2–1 9.8%
3–0 7.6%

Tonga at home

56% / 23% / 21%

Ethiopia win / draw / Tonga win

Ethiopia–Tonga

1–0 11.3%
1–1 11.1%
2–0 10.0%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Tonga
Current Elo	1393	1056
Elo rank	148th	198th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	409	68
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	549	81
Goals against	595	253
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and Tonga have never played each other.