Head to head

Ethiopia vs Tajikistan

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

41% / 26% / 33%

Ethiopia win / draw / Tajikistan win

Ethiopia–Tajikistan

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.1%
0–1 8.8%
2–1 8.7%
1–2 7.6%

Neutral venue

33% / 26% / 40%

Ethiopia win / draw / Tajikistan win

Ethiopia–Tajikistan

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.0%
1–0 8.9%
1–2 8.6%
2–1 7.7%

Tajikistan at home

26% / 25% / 49%

Ethiopia win / draw / Tajikistan win

Ethiopia–Tajikistan

1–1 11.9%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.5%
1–0 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Tajikistan
Current Elo	1393	1438
Elo rank	148th	137th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1569 (1997)
Matches played	409	201
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	78W 43D 80L
Goals for	549	299
Goals against	595	278
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	16–0 vs Guam · 2000-11-26 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–8 vs Japan · 2011-10-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and Tajikistan have never played each other.