Head to head

Ethiopia vs Tahiti

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

36% / 26% / 38%

Ethiopia win / draw / Tahiti win

Ethiopia–Tahiti

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.8%
1–0 9.4%
1–2 8.3%
2–1 8.0%

Neutral venue

29% / 25% / 46%

Ethiopia win / draw / Tahiti win

Ethiopia–Tahiti

1–1 12.1%
0–1 10.5%
1–2 9.2%
0–2 8.0%
1–0 7.9%

Tahiti at home

22% / 24% / 54%

Ethiopia win / draw / Tahiti win

Ethiopia–Tahiti

1–1 11.3%
0–1 11.1%
1–2 9.8%
0–2 9.6%
1–0 6.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Tahiti
Current Elo	1393	1506
Elo rank	148th	109th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1856 (1996)
Matches played	409	242
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	131W 31D 80L
Goals for	549	657
Goals against	595	371
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	30–0 vs Cook Islands · 1971-09-13 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–10 vs Spain · 2013-06-20 · Confederations Cup
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and Tahiti have never played each other.