Head to head

Ethiopia vs Sweden

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

17% / 22% / 61%

Ethiopia win / draw / Sweden win

Ethiopia–Sweden

0–1 11.6%
0–2 11.0%
1–1 10.4%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.0%

Neutral venue

12% / 19% / 69%

Ethiopia win / draw / Sweden win

Ethiopia–Sweden

0–2 12.6%
0–1 12.0%
1–2 9.6%
1–1 9.1%
0–3 8.9%

Sweden at home

8% / 16% / 75%

Ethiopia win / draw / Sweden win

Ethiopia–Sweden

0–2 14.1%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 10.9%
1–2 8.9%
1–1 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Sweden
Current Elo	1393	1797
Elo rank	148th	41st
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1955 (2018)
Matches played	409	1105
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	542W 234D 329L
Goals for	549	2178
Goals against	595	1431
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	12–0 vs Latvia · 1927-05-29 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–10 vs Denmark · 1913-10-05 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.52

When they've met

Ethiopia and Sweden have never played each other.