Head to head

Ethiopia vs Sri Lanka

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

74% / 17% / 9%

Ethiopia win / draw / Sri Lanka win

Ethiopia–Sri Lanka

2–0 13.8%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
1–1 8.0%

Neutral venue

67% / 20% / 13%

Ethiopia win / draw / Sri Lanka win

Ethiopia–Sri Lanka

2–0 12.3%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.4%
3–0 8.4%

Sri Lanka at home

59% / 22% / 18%

Ethiopia win / draw / Sri Lanka win

Ethiopia–Sri Lanka

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.7%
1–1 10.6%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Sri Lanka
Current Elo	1393	1011
Elo rank	148th	202nd
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1489 (1952)
Matches played	409	251
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	49W 47D 155L
Goals for	549	237
Goals against	595	576
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	7–1 vs Pakistan · 2008-04-04 · AFC Challenge Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	1–12 vs German DR · 1964-01-12 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and Sri Lanka have never played each other.