Head to head

Ethiopia vs South Sudan

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

55% / 24% / 22%

Ethiopia win / draw / South Sudan win

Ethiopia–South Sudan

1–1 11.2%
1–0 11.2%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.7%
0–1 6.4%

Neutral venue

47% / 25% / 28%

Ethiopia win / draw / South Sudan win

Ethiopia–South Sudan

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.2%
0–1 7.8%

South Sudan at home

39% / 26% / 35%

Ethiopia win / draw / South Sudan win

Ethiopia–South Sudan

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.8%
0–1 9.3%
2–1 8.4%
1–2 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	South Sudan
Current Elo	1393	1271
Elo rank	148th	172nd
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1501 (2012)
Matches played	409	78
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	12W 16D 50L
Goals for	549	50
Goals against	595	142
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	6–0 vs Djibouti · 2017-03-28 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–5 vs Senegal · 2025-10-10 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	1	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	1.67	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Ethiopia 3W 0D 0L

Goals

6–0

Ethiopia first

First meeting

1–0

Ethiopia won · 2012-11-24 · CECAFA Cup

Most recent

3–0

Ethiopia won · 2017-12-05 · CECAFA Cup

Ethiopia's biggest win

3–0

2017-12-05 · CECAFA Cup

South Sudan's biggest win

—

Never beaten Ethiopia

Current run

Won last 3

Ethiopia · since 2012-11-24

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2017-12-05	3–0	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2013-12-03	2–0	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2012-11-24	1–0	Neutral	CECAFA Cup