Head to head

Ethiopia vs South Africa

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

23% / 24% / 53%

Ethiopia win / draw / South Africa win

Ethiopia–South Africa

1–1 11.4%
0–1 11.1%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.4%
1–0 6.7%

Neutral venue

17% / 22% / 61%

Ethiopia win / draw / South Africa win

Ethiopia–South Africa

0–1 11.6%
0–2 11.0%
1–1 10.4%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.0%

South Africa at home

12% / 19% / 68%

Ethiopia win / draw / South Africa win

Ethiopia–South Africa

0–2 12.6%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.6%
1–1 9.1%
0–3 8.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	South Africa
Current Elo	1393	1694
Elo rank	148th	66th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1792 (1996)
Matches played	409	484
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	216W 146D 122L
Goals for	549	652
Goals against	595	458
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	8–0 vs Australia · 1955-09-17 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	3–9 vs Netherlands · 1958-11-12 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.02
African Cup of Nations won	1	1
Expected African Cup of Nations	1.67	0.71

When they've met

Meetings

Ethiopia 1W 1D 2L

Goals

4–6

Ethiopia first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 2012-06-03 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

0–1

South Africa won · 2021-10-12 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Ethiopia's biggest win

2–1

2013-06-16 · FIFA World Cup qualification

South Africa's biggest win

3–1

2021-10-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Current run

Won last 2

South Africa · since 2021-10-09

4 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2021-10-12	0–1	South Africa home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2021-10-09	1–3	Ethiopia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2013-06-16	2–1	Ethiopia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2012-06-03	1–1	South Africa home	FIFA World Cup qualification