Head to head

Ethiopia vs Somalia

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

70% / 18% / 11%

Ethiopia win / draw / Somalia win

Ethiopia–Somalia

2–0 13.0%
1–0 12.1%
2–1 9.4%
3–0 9.4%
1–1 8.7%

Neutral venue

63% / 21% / 16%

Ethiopia win / draw / Somalia win

Ethiopia–Somalia

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.5%
1–1 10.0%
2–1 9.8%
3–0 7.5%

Somalia at home

56% / 23% / 21%

Ethiopia win / draw / Somalia win

Ethiopia–Somalia

1–0 11.2%
1–1 11.1%
2–0 9.9%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Somalia
Current Elo	1393	1061
Elo rank	148th	196th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1475 (1963)
Matches played	409	124
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	11W 15D 98L
Goals for	549	62
Goals against	595	330
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	3–2 vs Djibouti · 2008-12-23 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–14 vs North Korea · 1963-11-11 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	1	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	1.67	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Ethiopia 6W 1D 1L

Goals

24–3

Ethiopia first

First meeting

7–0

Ethiopia won · 1969-01-05 · Friendly

Most recent

2–0

Ethiopia won · 2015-11-25 · CECAFA Cup

Ethiopia's biggest win

7–0

1969-01-05 · Friendly

Somalia's biggest win

1–0

2002-12-07 · CECAFA Cup

Most common result

5–0

Ethiopia first · twice, last 2011-11-16

Current run

Unbeaten in 4

Ethiopia · since 2005-12-05

8 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2015-11-25	2–0	Ethiopia home	CECAFA Cup
2011-11-16	5–0	Ethiopia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2011-11-12	0–0	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2005-12-05	3–1	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2002-12-07	0–1	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2000-11-21	2–1	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
1995-12-03	5–0	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
1969-01-05	7–0	Ethiopia home	Friendly