Head to head

Ethiopia vs Sierra Leone

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

38% / 26% / 35%

Ethiopia win / draw / Sierra Leone win

Ethiopia–Sierra Leone

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.8%
0–1 9.3%
2–1 8.4%
1–2 8.0%

Neutral venue

31% / 26% / 43%

Ethiopia win / draw / Sierra Leone win

Ethiopia–Sierra Leone

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.3%
1–2 8.9%
1–0 8.4%
0–2 7.5%

Sierra Leone at home

24% / 24% / 51%

Ethiopia win / draw / Sierra Leone win

Ethiopia–Sierra Leone

1–1 11.6%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 9.1%
1–0 7.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Sierra Leone
Current Elo	1393	1472
Elo rank	148th	122nd
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1654 (1996)
Matches played	409	301
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	91W 78D 132L
Goals for	549	290
Goals against	595	415
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	5–1 vs Niger · 1976-03-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–6 vs Mali · 2007-06-17 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	1	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	1.67	0.11

When they've met

Meetings

Ethiopia 0W 2D 1L

Goals

0–2

Ethiopia first

First meeting

0–0

Drawn · 2021-08-26 · Friendly

Most recent

0–2

Sierra Leone won · 2025-09-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Ethiopia's biggest win

—

Never beaten Sierra Leone

Sierra Leone's biggest win

2–0

2025-09-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most common result

0–0

Ethiopia first · twice, last 2023-11-15

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Sierra Leone · since 2021-08-26

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-09-09	0–2	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2023-11-15	0–0	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2021-08-26	0–0	Ethiopia home	Friendly