Head to head

Ethiopia vs Serbia

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

17% / 22% / 61%

Ethiopia win / draw / Serbia win

Ethiopia–Serbia

0–1 11.5%
0–2 11.0%
1–1 10.4%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.9%

Neutral venue

13% / 19% / 68%

Ethiopia win / draw / Serbia win

Ethiopia–Serbia

0–2 12.5%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.6%
1–1 9.2%
0–3 8.8%

Serbia at home

9% / 16% / 75%

Ethiopia win / draw / Serbia win

Ethiopia–Serbia

0–2 14.1%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.8%
1–2 8.9%
1–1 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Serbia
Current Elo	1393	1792
Elo rank	148th	42nd
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1962 (1998)
Matches played	409	831
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	378W 187D 266L
Goals for	549	1473
Goals against	595	1138
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	10–0 vs Venezuela · 1972-06-14 · Brazil Independence Cup
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–7 vs Czechoslovakia · 1925-10-28 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.56

When they've met

Meetings

Ethiopia 0W 0D 1L

Goals

2–5

Ethiopia first

First meeting

2–5

Serbia won · 1962-09-19 · Friendly

Most recent

2–5

Serbia won · 1962-09-19 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
1962-09-19	2–5	Serbia home	Friendly