Head to head

Ethiopia vs Senegal

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

13% / 20% / 67%

Ethiopia win / draw / Senegal win

Ethiopia–Senegal

0–2 12.4%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.3%
0–3 8.6%

Neutral venue

9% / 17% / 74%

Ethiopia win / draw / Senegal win

Ethiopia–Senegal

0–2 13.9%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.5%
1–2 9.0%
1–1 7.9%

Senegal at home

6% / 14% / 80%

Ethiopia win / draw / Senegal win

Ethiopia–Senegal

0–2 15.4%
0–3 12.7%
0–1 12.4%
1–2 7.9%
0–4 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Senegal
Current Elo	1393	1881
Elo rank	148th	27th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1953 (2026)
Matches played	409	642
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	299W 169D 174L
Goals for	549	892
Goals against	595	608
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	8–0 vs Kenya · 2025-11-18 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–5 vs Guinea · 1966-03-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.04
African Cup of Nations won	1	1
Expected African Cup of Nations	1.67	1.85

When they've met

Meetings

Ethiopia 1W 0D 3L

Goals

4–11

Ethiopia first

First meeting

2–1

Ethiopia won · 1963-11-21 · Friendly

Most recent

0–3

Senegal won · 1997-06-22 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Ethiopia's biggest win

2–1

1963-11-21 · Friendly

Senegal's biggest win

5–1

1965-11-19 · African Cup of Nations

Current run

Won last 3

Senegal · since 1965-11-19

4 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
1997-06-22	0–3	Senegal home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1996-10-06	1–2	Ethiopia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1965-11-19	1–5	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
1963-11-21	2–1	Senegal home	Friendly