Head to head

Ethiopia vs Scotland

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

16% / 21% / 63%

Ethiopia win / draw / Scotland win

Ethiopia–Scotland

0–1 11.6%
0–2 11.3%
1–1 10.1%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.3%

Neutral venue

12% / 19% / 70%

Ethiopia win / draw / Scotland win

Ethiopia–Scotland

0–2 12.9%
0–1 12.0%
1–2 9.5%
0–3 9.2%
1–1 8.9%

Scotland at home

8% / 16% / 76%

Ethiopia win / draw / Scotland win

Ethiopia–Scotland

0–2 14.4%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.3%
1–2 8.7%
1–1 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Scotland
Current Elo	1393	1815
Elo rank	148th	37th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1875 (2023)
Matches played	409	854
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	403W 182D 269L
Goals for	549	1455
Goals against	595	1054
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1901-02-23 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–7 vs Uruguay · 1954-06-19 · FIFA World Cup
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.21

When they've met

Ethiopia and Scotland have never played each other.