Head to head

Ethiopia vs São Tomé and Príncipe

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

62% / 22% / 17%

Ethiopia win / draw / São Tomé and Príncipe win

Ethiopia–São Tomé and Príncipe

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.1%
1–1 10.3%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.1%

Neutral venue

54% / 24% / 22%

Ethiopia win / draw / São Tomé and Príncipe win

Ethiopia–São Tomé and Príncipe

1–1 11.3%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.6%
0–1 6.6%

São Tomé and Príncipe at home

46% / 25% / 29%

Ethiopia win / draw / São Tomé and Príncipe win

Ethiopia–São Tomé and Príncipe

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.2%
2–0 8.0%
0–1 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	São Tomé and Príncipe
Current Elo	1393	1182
Elo rank	148th	182nd
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1481 (1976)
Matches played	409	71
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	9W 10D 52L
Goals for	549	53
Goals against	595	182
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	3–1 vs Mauritius · 2019-10-09 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–10 vs Nigeria · 2022-06-13 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	1	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	1.67	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Ethiopia 1W 0D 1L

Goals

3–1

Ethiopia first

First meeting

0–1

São Tomé and Príncipe won · 2015-10-08 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

3–0

Ethiopia won · 2015-10-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Ethiopia's biggest win

3–0

2015-10-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification

São Tomé and Príncipe's biggest win

1–0

2015-10-08 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Current run

Won the last meeting

Ethiopia · since 2015-10-11

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2015-10-11	3–0	Ethiopia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2015-10-08	0–1	São Tomé and Príncipe home	FIFA World Cup qualification