Head to head

Ethiopia vs San Marino

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

81% / 14% / 6%

Ethiopia win / draw / San Marino win

Ethiopia–San Marino

2–0 15.4%
3–0 12.8%
1–0 12.4%
4–0 7.9%
2–1 7.9%

Neutral venue

75% / 17% / 9%

Ethiopia win / draw / San Marino win

Ethiopia–San Marino

2–0 14.0%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.6%
2–1 9.0%
1–1 7.9%

San Marino at home

68% / 19% / 13%

Ethiopia win / draw / San Marino win

Ethiopia–San Marino

2–0 12.4%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.3%
3–0 8.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	San Marino
Current Elo	1393	901
Elo rank	148th	213th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1468 (1990)
Matches played	409	225
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	3W 11D 211L
Goals for	549	44
Goals against	595	890
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	3–1 vs Liechtenstein · 2024-11-18 · UEFA Nations League
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–13 vs Germany · 2006-09-06 · UEFA Euro qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and San Marino have never played each other.